Miami Heat Odds: How to Bet on the Miami Heat in Game 3

The Miami Heat got themselves right back into this series with a win over the Denver Nuggets in Game 2, which ensures they avoid the dreaded sweep. Now, they return to Miami for the first two home games of the NBA Finals, but do they have what it takes to pick up vital wins here, and take a step closer to the NBA Championship?

The Heat are still underdogs to win it all, and in fact, they are still underdogs tonight at home, but all of a sudden there is respect in the market for their chances, after a big win in Game 2.

Check out the latest NBA Championship odds, to see how the odds have moved since the start of the NBA Finals. Following the Nugget's Game 1 victory, they went as short as -900 to win the NBA Championship, so things have certainly changed!

OddsChecker provides the best odds, line, and predictions ahead of Game 3 in the 2023 NBA Finals and helps users cash in with multiple NBA betting promotions that unlock $1000s in free bets.

The Miami Heat have played the role of 'underdog' throughout the NBA Playoffs, with the exception of their matchup with the New York Knicks, where it was projected to be a lot closer.

Before the start of the NBA Finals, the Heat came into this series 11-3 against the spread and 9-5 outright as underdogs, and they have been the underdog in both games so far in this series.

Not only did they lose in the underdog spot in Game 1 they also failed to cover the spread, but in Game 2 they put that right, by not only covering but winning outright. They are now 12-4 against the spread and 10-6 outright as underdogs during the 2023 NBA Playoffs.

They find themselves in a familiar spot again tonight, but can they cover the far smaller +2.5 spread and win outright in front of their home fans?

When it comes to the Miami Heat, they are still ultimately the underdog in this series. Despite the Heat's best efforts in winning Game 2, the sportsbooks still view the Denver Nuggets as the better team, and that is a fair assessment.

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After an incredible showing in Game 2, where the Heat shot 48.6% from 3pt range, Miami now leads all teams in 3pt field goal percentage, with 39.2% of threes made during the 2023 NBA Playoffs.

This puts them just ahead of the Denver Nuggets who are sitting at 38.2%, but will this be a significant factor in Game 3 and beyond?

Whether this is sustainable going forward for the Heat remains to be seen, but they made 17 threes in Game 2, 6 more than the Denver Nuggets could manage, and if they can keep up that sort of differential, then they are sure to be in for a promising NBA Championship run.

Max Strus went 4-7 from downtown in the first quarter alone, but then missed his next three, whilst Gabe Vincent (4-6), Jimmy Butler (2-5), Duncan Robinson (2-3), Kevin Love (2-6) and Kyle Lowry (2-3) all provided multiple threes made in Game 2.

If they can fire from this range in Game 3, that might just be how they outscore the Nuggets.

For all the positives surrounding Miami Heat's 3pt shooting, there is a big flaw in their game, and that is their ability to rebound.

The Heat were bettered by every team in each of their three playoff series to this point when it comes to Rebounding, and that is unlikely to change against the Nuggets.

The Heat were -5 in rebounding against Boston, -9 against Milwaukee, and -31 against the Knicks, and it should be a similar story against the Nuggets who are averaging 43.9 rebounds per game, to the Heat's 40.6.

Nikola Jokic's 12.9 rebounds per game during the NBA Playoffs were bettered only by Anthony Davis and Kevin Looney.

Bam Adebayo is the Heat's leading rebounder with 9.4 per game, but ultimately it is his box-out numbers that allow others to rebound, that matters most. Adebayo leads the NBA Playoffs with 85 total boxouts, 78 of which have been on the defensive glass.

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Below are the latest DraftKings Sportsbook odds for Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets, ahead of Game 3 of the NBA Finals.

See how DraftKings Sportsbook's odds stack up against the competition ahead of Game 3, by checking out the OddsChecker Grid now.

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Tom Jacobs is the host of the Lost Fore Words golf podcast and has been writing betting articles on golf for the past decade. Tom also co-hosts the DP World Tour Picks & Bets show on the Mayo Media Network, so has his finger on the pulse on all the major Tours.A long-suffering Nottingham Forest fan, Tom also enjoys watching Soccer at the weekend, and was delighted to see his Forest team win promotion this season!